With only one day left to go, it still looks like Obama will take Nevada's 5 electoral votes with ease. There are several indicators for this prediction.
Looking at the polls, Obama has been leading for almost two months now. The most recent poll, the Mason-Dixon poll from October 28/29 shows Obama with 47% and McCain with 43%.
Secondly, Obama is outspending McCain on advertisements. CNN reports Obama as spending $8,457,067 to date compared to McCain's $5,343,068. As a battleground state, the number of ads is crucial, especially with the number of newly registered voters.
The number of newly registered voters strongly favors the Democrats. For counties like Clark and Washoe, this is the first time Democrats have outnumbered Republicans in registered voters. In Clark County 388,000 people have already cast their vote. Of these early votes 51% have come from Democrats and 32% have come from Republicans. Of all Democrats registered in Clark County, 51% have voted. Of all the registered Republicans 48% have voted.
Election Day is very important for both candidates and Independent voters will have a large impact in the results of this state. However, I still think it is safe to call Nevada for Obama.
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